NORTHISLE 2025 PEA INDICATES 29% AFTER-TAX IRR AND $2 BILLION NPV FOR STAGED DEVELOPMENT OF THE NORTH ISLAND PROJECT NPV of $3.8 Billion with an After-tax IRR of 45% at spot prices
February 19, 2025 – All figures in C$ unless otherwise noted
TSX Venture Exchange Symbol: NCX
NORTHISLE 2025 PEA INDICATES 29% AFTER-TAX IRR AND $2 BILLION NPV FOR STAGED DEVELOPMENT OF THE NORTH ISLAND PROJECT NPV of $3.8 Billion with an After-tax IRR of 45% at spot prices Highlights:
- The 2025 PEA outlines robust economics, unlocking copper value through gold
- Base Case: After-tax net present value (“NPV”) of $2 billion (US$1.5 billion) at a 7% discount rate, after-tax internal rate of return (“IRR”) of 29%, 1.9-year payback period and 29-year life of mine (“LOM”)
- After-tax NPV of $3.8 billion (US$2.6 billion) at 7%, after-tax IRR of 45% and a 1.4-year payback at spot prices
- Phase 1 average annual production of 200,000 ozs Au and 48mm lbs Cu over 5 years, with 157 million lbs Cu Eq. or approx. 307,000 ozs Au Eq. LOM
- LOM revenue of 48% copper, 45% Au, and 7% Mo at Base Case prices, and 50% Au, 44% Cu and 6% Mo at spot
- Phase 1 operating cash flow of $2 billion at Base Case prices supports rapid payback of 1.9 years and fully funds Phase 2 expansion capex
- Among the lowest cost and capital intensity projects relative to peer group
- Two-phase approach at single plant site with Phase 1 at 40,000 tonnes per day (“tpd”), doubling to 80,000tpd
- NPV of $2.0 billion (US$1.5 billion) is 1.7 times initial capital investment of $1.1 billion (US$847 million) at Base Case pricing and 3.3 times initial capex at spot prices
- Phase 1 cash cost of US$763/oz Au Eq. or US$1.49/lb Cu Eq. sits in first quartile globallyi
- Long-term opportunity spanning 35-kilometer porphyry district
- 29-year mine plan includes only 753Mt of material of the 905Mt Indicated and 214Mt Inferred Resource
- New discovery at West Goodspeed, located within 1km of Red Dog, not included in current resource
- $7 million fully funded exploration program focused on expanding higher margin and grade northwest corridor
- Furthers the Company’s sustainable development goals
- Reduced emissions from Phase 1 operations, increased electrification opportunities
- Estimated LOM carbon intensity among the lowest in Canada for open pit copper minesii
Vancouver, B.C. – Northisle Copper and Gold Inc. (TSX-V: NCX) (“Northisle” or the “Company”) is pleased to announce the positive results from a Preliminary Economic Assessment (the “2025 PEA”) for its 100% owned North Island Project (the “Project”) that demonstrate excellent economics from the staged development of the Project.
The 2025 PEA is based on a two-phase development of the Company’s 100% owned Northwest Expo and Red Dog deposits, followed by the Hushamu deposit concurrent with a plant expansion. The 2025 PEA considers the processing of 753 million tonnes of mineable material within three open pit deposits over a 29-year mine life. During the first phase, throughput is approximately 40,000tpd resulting in an initial capital expenditure of approximately $1.1 billion (US$849 million). Production includes a combination of gold doré and gold-rich copper concentrate. The second phase contemplates twinning the mill for a total of 80,000tpd in year 6 to produce copper concentrate (containing significant payable gold), additional gold doré, and a molybdenum concentrate (containing payable rhenium). Phase 1 delivers a short payback period of 1.9 years and strong operating cash flows (net of sustaining capital) of approximately $400 million per year that provide a strong return and fully fund Phase 2 construction starting in year 5 (see Figure 4).
Dale Corman, Chairman, Cornerstone Shareholder, and Mining Hall of Fame recipient, commented: “I have always believed that the North Island Project is among the most promising copper and gold projects in BC, and now, I believe it’s among the most promising in the world. The results of the PEA highlight the Project’s economic potential and the opportunity across our 35km district. Our team continues to make disciplined discoveries which we expect will continue to add value for shareholders.”
Sam Lee, President and CEO of Northisle added, “The 2025 PEA confirms our view that the North Island Project has the potential to be among the best copper and gold projects in Canada. Our approach to optimizing the PEA was built upon two strategic pillars: lowering the project capital intensity through a phased approach while maximizing overall project value and returns. Upon achieving these goals, we now have a project that sharply distinguishes itself from other more capital-intensive copper projects by unlocking our copper value through gold.
Of equal importance, we have just scratched the surface across our 35-kilometer porphyry district. Through our fully funded 2025 exploration program focused on the Northwest Corridor, we will test for the causative intrusion at Northwest Expo, seek to expand the footprint of West Goodspeed both along strike and via fault offsets, and in-fill West Goodspeed to enhance continuity. In our view, the combination of exploration potential and a robust development project at its core make the North Island Project one of Canada’s most compelling copper AND gold projects.
With continued support of our First Nations partners, the BC and Federal Government, our shareholders and other stakeholders, we look forward to our project providing meaningful benefits in the years and decades to come.”
Jagrup Brar, Minister of Mining and Critical Minerals stated “Responsible resource development of critical minerals in partnership with First Nations is proven to expedite mining projects in B.C. That’s why we are pleased to see Northisle continue to progress its North Island Project to unlock copper, one of Canada’s critical minerals. We look forward to working with Northisle on obtaining efficient permitting decisions.”
The Company will host a conference call and webcast on February 19, 2025 at 11:00 AM Eastern time (8:00 AM Pacific time). Details to access the call can be found below.
Key performance indicators are summarized in Table 1 below.
Table 1: 2025 Base Case Summary Project Metrics
| Project Stage | Production | AISC | After- | After- tax NPV (7%) | After- tax IRR | GHG Emissions (kg CO 2 /lb.) | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tax | ||||||||||||||||||
| Avg. | ||||||||||||||||||
| Free | ||||||||||||||||||
| Cash | ||||||||||||||||||
| Flow | ||||||||||||||||||
| Cu | Au (Koz) | Cu Eq. | Au Eq. (Koz) | Cu by- | Au by- | Cu Eq. (US$/lb) | Au Eq. (US$/oz) | $ mm | $ mm | % | Cu | Cu Eq. | ||||||
| (mm | (mm | product | product | |||||||||||||||
| lbs) | lbs) | (US$/lb) | (US$/oz) | |||||||||||||||
| Phase 1 (first 5 years) average | 48 | 200 | 151 | 294 | $(3.23) | $370 | $1.83 | $938 | 357 | 1,996 | 28.6 | 1.17 | 0.56 | |||||
| Life of mine (“LOM”) average | 75 | 137 | 157 | 307 | $0.47 | $93 | $2.41 | $1,232 | 199 |
Note: Cu Eq. based on Base Case metal prices and includes molybdenum and gold. See Table 2 for details.
2025 PEA Summary
The 2025 PEA was prepared in accordance with National Instrument 43-101 Standards of Disclosure for Mineral Projects (“NI43-101”) by Ausenco Engineering Canada ULC (“Ausenco”) in conjunction with an updated mine plan prepared by Moose Mountain Technical Services (“Moose Mountain”) and incorporates the previously announced integrated resource estimate for the North Island Project prepared by Moose Mountain (the “2024 Resource Estimate”). The 2025 PEA also includes an updated Mine Waste Storage Facility (“MWSF”) design prepared by Ausenco and updated metallurgical test work, also overseen by Ausenco. The Company plans to file the complete 2025 PEA report on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca within 45 days of this press release.
Table 2 summarizes the key findings of the 2025 PEA.
Table 2: 2025 PEA Economic Highlights
| Base Case Economics | Units | Base Case | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Present Value (after tax NPV 7%) | $ millions | 1,996 | |||||
| Net Present Value (after tax NPV 7%) | US$ millions | 1,477 | |||||
| Internal Rate of Return | % | 28.6 | |||||
| Payback | Years | 1.9 | |||||
| Phase 1 Initial Capital Cost | $ millions | 1,144 (US$847) | |||||
| Phase 2 Expansion Capital | $ millions | 693 (US$513) | |||||
| Sustaining Capital Cost | $ millions | 1,278 (US$946) | |||||
| Economic Assumptions | Units | Base Case | |||||
| Copper | US$/lb | 4.20 | |||||
| Gold | US$/oz | 2,150 | |||||
| Molybdenum | US$/lb | 21 | |||||
| Rhenium | US$/kg | 1,950 | |||||
| CAD:USD Exchange Rate | US$/C$ | 0.74 | |||||
| Base Case Annual Financial Metrics | Units | First 5 years | LOM | ||||
| Average Annual Revenue | $ millions | 855 | 902 | ||||
| Average Annual On-site Operating Costs | $ millions | 279 | 411 | ||||
| Avg. Ann. Operating Cash Flow (after tax) | $ millions | 418 | 290 | ||||
| Avg. Ann. Free Cash Flow (after tax) | $ millions | 357 | 199 |
The 2025 PEA is preliminary in nature and includes inferred mineral resources that are considered too speculative geologically to have the economic considerations applied to them that would enable them to be categorized as mineral reserves. There is no certainty that the projections described in the 2025 PEA will be realized. Mineral resources that are not mineral reserves do not have demonstrated economic viability.
Table 3 provides a summary of the key operating metrics from the 2025 PEA.
Table 3: 2025 PEA Operating Highlights
| Operating Statistics | Units | Phase 1 (First 5 | Phase 2 | Avg. LOM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Years) | |||||
| Mine Life | Years | 5 | 23.7 | 28.7 | |
| Annual Throughput | M tonnes | 14.8 | 28.6 | 26.2 | |
| Waste to Processed Material | Waste:Processed Material | 1.43 | 0.74 | 0.81 | |
| Total Copper Recoveries | % | 86.7 | 79.3 | 80.1 | |
| Total Gold Recoveries | % | 83.1 | 57.4 | 62.3 | |
| Total Molybdenum Recoveries | % | NA | 51.4 | 51.4 | |
| Average Annual Payable Production | |||||
| Copper | mm lbs | 48 | 81 | 75 | |
| Gold | Koz | 200 | 123 | 137 | |
| Molybdenum | Klbs | NA | 2,763 | 2,282 | |
| Cu Eq. | mm lbs | NA | 158 | 157 | |
| Au Eq. | Koz | 294 | 309 | 307 | |
| C1 Cost – Cu Eq payable | $/lb | 1.49 | 2.15 | 2.04 | |
| C1 Cost – Au Eq payable | $/oz | 762 | 1,100 | 1,044 | |
| AISC – Cu Eq payable | $/lb | 1.83 | 2.52 | 2.41 | |
| AISC – Au Eq payable | $/oz | 938 | 1,291 | 1,232 |
CuEq = copper payable lbs + ((gold payable oz * gold price)/copper price) + ((molybdenum payable lbs *molybdenum price)/copper price)
AuEq = gold payable oz + ((copper payable lbs * copper price)/gold price) + ((molybdenum payable lbs *molybdenum price)/gold price)
Cash cost = operating costs + offsite costs – Rhenium credit AISC = cash cost + royalties + sustaining capital + closure capital Cu Eq. and Au Eq. calculated at Base Case metal prices
Economic Sensitivity
An economic analysis was conducted based on spot metal prices (the “Spot Price”) as of February 11, 2025 and assumed no changes to any other modifying factors.
Table 4: 2025 PEA Economic Highlights
| Spot Price Economics | Units | Spot Price1 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Present Value (after tax NPV 7%) | $ millions | 3,754 | |||
| Net Present Value (after tax NPV 7%) | US$ millions | 2,625 | |||
| Internal Rate of Return | % | 45.1 | |||
| Payback | Years | 1.4 | |||
| Phase 1 Initial Capital Cost | $ millions | 1,144 (US$847) | |||
| Phase 2 Expansion Capital | $ millions | 693 (US$513) | |||
| Sustaining Capital Cost | $ millions | 1,278 (US$946) | |||
| Economic Assumptions | Units | Spot Price1 | |||
| Copper | US$/lb | 4.67 | |||
| Gold | US$/oz | 2,908 | |||
| Molybdenum | US$/lb | 21 | |||
| Rhenium | US$/kg | 2,417 | |||
| CAD:USD Exchange Rate | US$/C$ | 0.70 |
1 – Spot price as of February 11th, 2025
Table 5 summarizes the after-tax sensitivities of NPV and IRR to metal prices.
Table 5: 2025 PEA Post Tax Sensitivity Summary
| Post-Tax Sensitivity to Metal Price (C$M) | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Post-Tax NPV Sensitivity To Discount Rate ($M) | Post-Tax IRR Sensitivity To Discount Rate | ||||||||
| Commodity Price | Spot Price | Commodity Price | Spot Price | ||||||
| Discount Rate | $1,974 (20%) (10%) – 10% 20% 3% 1,649 2,598 3,546 4,500 5,450 5% 1,160 1,903 2,642 3,384 4,121 7% 806 1,404 1,996 2,588 3,176 8% 665 1,207 1,742 2,276 2,805 10% 439 890 1,334 1,774 2,210 | – | Discount Rate | $0 (20%) (10%) – 10% 20% 3.00% 16.6% 22.9% 28.6% 33.7% 38.6% 5.00% 16.6% 22.9% 28.6% 33.7% 38.6% 7.00% 16.6% 22.9% 28.6% 33.7% 38.6% 8.00% 16.6% 22.9% 28.6% 33.7% 38.6% 10.00% 16.6% 22.9% 28.6% 33.7% 38.6% | – | ||||
| 1,649 2,598 3,546 4,500 5,450 1,160 1,903 2,642 3,384 4,121 806 1,404 1,996 2,588 3,176 665 1,207 1,742 2,276 2,805 439 890 1,334 1,774 2,210 | 6,299 4,814 3,754 3,337 2,667 | 16.6% 22.9% 28.6% 33.7% 38.6% 16.6% 22.9% 28.6% 33.7% 38.6% 16.6% 22.9% 28.6% 33.7% 38.6% 16.6% 22.9% 28.6% 33.7% 38.6% 16.6% 22.9% 28.6% 33.7% 38.6% | 45.1% 45.1% 45.1% 45.1% 45.1% | ||||||
| Post-Tax NPV Sensitivity To OPEX ($M) | Post-Tax IRR Sensitivity To OPEX | ||||||||
| Commodity Price | Spot Price | Commodity Price | Spot Price | ||||||
| OPEX | $1,974 (20%) (10%) – 10% 20% (20%) 1,310 1,902 2,492 3,082 3,668 (10%) 1,059 1,654 2,244 2,835 3,423 – 806 1,404 1,996 2,588 3,176 10% 552 1,154 1,748 2,341 2,933 20% 294 904 1,501 2,094 2,686 | – | OPEX | $0 (20%) (10%) – 10% 20% (20%) 21.2% 26.9% 32.2% 37.1% 41.8% (10%) 19.0% 24.9% 30.4% 35.4% 40.2% – 16.6% 22.9% 28.6% 33.7% 38.6% 10% 14.0% 20.6% 26.6% 32.0% 37.0% 20% 11.0% 18.3% 24.6% 30.2% 35.3% | – | ||||
| 1,310 1,902 2,492 3,082 3,668 1,059 1,654 2,244 2,835 3,423 806 1,404 1,996 2,588 3,176 552 1,154 1,748 2,341 2,933 294 904 1,501 2,094 2,686 | 4,247 4,001 3,754 3,508 3,262 | 21.2% 26.9% 32.2% 37.1% 41.8% 19.0% 24.9% 30.4% 35.4% 40.2% 16.6% 22.9% 28.6% 33.7% 38.6% 14.0% 20.6% 26.6% 32.0% 37.0% 11.0% 18.3% 24.6% 30.2% 35.3% | 48.0% 46.5% 45.1% 43.6% 42.0% | ||||||
| Post-Tax NPV Sensitivity To Initial Capex ($M) | Post-Tax IRR Sensitivity To Initial Capex | ||||||||
| Commodity Price | Spot Price | Commodity Price | Spot Price | ||||||
| Initial Capex | $1,974 (20%) (10%) – 10% 20% (20%) 988 1,581 2,173 2,760 3,350 (10%) 898 1,492 2,085 2,673 3,263 – 806 1,404 1,996 2,588 3,176 10% 715 1,314 1,910 2,500 3,092 20% 622 1,224 1,820 2,412 3,004 | – | Initial Capex | $0 (20%) (10%) – 10% 20% (20%) 21.9% 29.5% 36.3% 42.5% 48.2% (10%) 18.9% 25.8% 32.0% 37.6% 42.9% – 16.6% 22.9% 28.6% 33.7% 38.6% 10% 14.7% 20.4% 25.7% 30.5% 35.1% 20% 13.2% 18.4% 23.4% 27.9% 32.1% | – | ||||
| 988 1,581 2,173 2,760 3,350 898 1,492 2,085 2,673 3,263 806 1,404 1,996 2,588 3,176 715 1,314 1,910 2,500 3,092 622 1,224 1,820 2,412 3,004 | 3,929 3,841 3,754 3,667 3,580 | 21.9% 29.5% 36.3% 42.5% 48.2% 18.9% 25.8% 32.0% 37.6% 42.9% 16.6% 22.9% 28.6% 33.7% 38.6% 14.7% 20.4% 25.7% 30.5% 35.1% 13.2% 18.4% 23.4% 27.9% 32.1% | 56.0% 50.0% 45.1% 41.0% 37.6% | ||||||
| Post-Tax NPV Sensitivity To Recovery Mill ($M) | Post-Tax IRR Sensitivity To Recovery Mill | ||||||||
| Commodity Price | Spot Price | Commodity Price | Spot Price | ||||||
| Recovery Mill | $1,974 (20%) (10%) – 10% 20% (20%) 85 623 1,141 1,651 2,159 (10%) 446 1,011 1,564 2,114 2,664 – 806 1,404 1,996 2,588 3,176 10% 1,204 1,839 2,473 3,103 3,733 20% 1,732 2,407 3,082 3,751 4,425 | – | Recovery Mill | $0 (20%) (10%) – 10% 20% (20%) 8.1% 14.4% 19.9% 24.9% 29.6% (10%) 12.5% 18.7% 24.3% 29.5% 34.2% – 16.6% 22.9% 28.6% 33.7% 38.6% 10% 20.6% 26.9% 32.6% 37.9% 43.0% 20% 24.8% 31.0% 36.7% 42.1% 47.2% | – | ||||
| 85 623 1,141 1,651 2,159 446 1,011 1,564 2,114 2,664 806 1,404 1,996 2,588 3,176 1,204 1,839 2,473 3,103 3,733 1,732 2,407 3,082 3,751 4,425 | 2,704 3,223 3,754 4,332 5,043 | 8.1% 14.4% 19.9% 24.9% 29.6% 12.5% 18.7% 24.3% 29.5% 34.2% 16.6% 22.9% 28.6% 33.7% 38.6% 20.6% 26.9% 32.6% 37.9% 43.0% 24.8% 31.0% 36.7% 42.1% 47.2% | 35.5% 40.4% 45.1% 49.6% 54.1% | ||||||
| Post-Tax NPV Sensitivity To Head Grade ($M) | Post-Tax IRR Sensitivity To Head Grade | ||||||||
| Commodity Price | Spot Price | Commodity Price | Spot Price | ||||||
| Head Grade | $1,974 (20%) (10%) – 10% 20% (20%) (249) 298 778 1,248 1,712 (10%) 312 858 1,390 1,918 2,445 – 806 1,404 1,996 2,588 3,176 10% 1,288 1,946 2,603 3,255 3,908 20% 1,766 2,488 3,205 3,923 4,642 | – | Head Grade | $0 (20%) (10%) – 10% 20% (20%) 3.4% 10.8% 16.3% 21.3% 25.9% (10%) 10.9% 17.2% 22.7% 27.8% 32.5% – 16.6% 22.9% 28.6% 33.7% 38.6% 10% 21.7% 28.1% 33.8% 39.3% 44.4% 20% 26.4% 32.9% 38.8% 44.4% 49.8% | – | ||||
| (249) 298 778 1,248 1,712 312 858 1,390 1,918 2,445 806 1,404 1,996 2,588 3,176 1,288 1,946 2,603 3,255 3,908 1,766 2,488 3,205 3,923 4,642 | 2,152 2,952 3,754 4,559 5,365 | 3.4% 10.8% 16.3% 21.3% 25.9% 10.9% 17.2% 22.7% 27.8% 32.5% 16.6% 22.9% 28.6% 33.7% 38.6% 21.7% 28.1% 33.8% 39.3% 44.4% 26.4% 32.9% 38.8% 44.4% 49.8% | 31.5% 38.5% 45.1% 51.3% 57.2% |
Note: FX sensitivity has only been applied to revenue in this study. Future studies will further model FX sensitivity. Spot Price is US$4.67/lb Cu, US$2,908/oz Au, US$21/lb Mo, US$2,417/kg Re and an FX rate of 0.70.
Figure 1: Sensitivity Summary Post-Tax NPV (7%)
3,500.0
3,000.0
2,500.0
2,000.0
1,500.0
1,000.0
500.0
– (25%) (20%) (15%) (10%) (5%) – 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
Commodity Price (+/-%) Total Opex (+/-%) Initial Capex (+/-%)
Recovery (+/-%) Head Grade (+/-%)
Figure 2: Sensitivity Summary Post-Tax IRR
45.00%
40.00%
35.00%
30.00%
25.00%
20.00%
15.00%
10.00%
5.00%
– (25%) (20%) (15%) (10%) (5%) – 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
Commodity Price (+/-%) Operating Cost (+/-%) Initial Capex (+/-%)
Recovery(+/-%) Head Grade (+/-%)
Figure 3: Annual Production Chart
300 35,000
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
- – 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 Year
Copper Equivalent Production Mill Feed
Figure 4: Annual Cumulative FCF Chart
1,200 6,000 Post-Tax CF - Phase 1 Post-Tax CF - Phase 2
Initial Capex Expansion Capex 1,000 5,000 Post-Tax Cumulative FCF
800 4,000
600 3,000
400 2,000
200 1,000
- –
(200) (1,000)
(400) (2,000)
(600) (3,000) Phase 1 Phase 2 (800) (4,000) -2 -1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 Year
Comparison to 2021 PEA
Table 6: Comparison of 2021 PEA to 2025 PEA
| Information/Data Type | 2021 PEA | 2025 PEA |
| Economics | $1.1 billion Afetr-tax NPV (8%) and 19% Afetr-tax IRR | $2.0 billion Afetr-tax NPV (7%) and 29% Afetr-tax IRR |
| Initial Capital Expenditure | $1.4 billion | $1.1 billion (US$847 million) |
| Payback of initial capital expenditure | 3.9 years | 1.9 years, expansion capital expenditure paid out of after- |
| tax free cash flow | ||
| Afetr-Tax Free Cash Flow | Average annual afetr-tax free cash flow of $321 million during the first 6 years, $224 million LOM | Average annual afetr-tax free cash flow (includes all capex) |
| of $357m first 5 years, $199m LOM | ||
| AISC | US$2.01/lb Cu Eq over first 6 years, US$2.14/lb Cu Eq LOM | |
| US$1.83/lb Cu Eq over first 5 years, US$2.41/lb Cu Eq LOM | ||
| Annual Production | First 6-year average payable production of 112mm lbs Cu and 112 koz Au; LOM average payable production of 96mm lbs Cu and 100koz Au, including 1.0kt Mo | First 5-year average payable production of 200koz Au and |
| 48mm lbs Cu; LOM average annual payable production of | ||
| 75mm lbs Cu and 137 koz Au, plus 1.0kt Mo and Re credits | ||
| Mine Life | 22 years | 29 years |
| Mine Capacity | 75 ktpd for Red Dog and Hushamu mine and mill | 2 Stage production plan, 40 ktpd expanding to 80 ktpd to |
| provide early processing of Au rich NW Expo material to | ||
| significantly improve project economics | ||
| Processing and Metallurgy | Flotation of Red Dog and Hushamu material to produce Cu concentrate and Molybdenum concentrate | Flotation plus cyanide leach of rougher and cleaner (Ph 1) |
| and cleaner (Ph 2) flotation tails to add 15-25% | ||
| improvement in Au recovery by producing Au doré | ||
| Project Capital Expenditure | Single Phase initial capital - more difficult to finance | 2 Phase production provides significantly reduced initial |
| capital to facilitate project financing. Second phase | ||
| expansion paid entirely out of free cash flow. |
| Information/Data Type | 2021 PEA | 2025 PEA | ||||||
| Pricing | Base Case | Spot Price | Base Discount to Spot | Base Case | Spot Price | Base Discount to Spot | ||
| Cu Price | US$/lb | 3.25 | 3.51 | 7% | 4.20 | 4.67 | 10% | |
| Au Price | US$/oz | 1,650 | 1,835 | 10% | 2,150 | 2,908 | 26% | |
| Mo Price | US$/lb | 10 | 10 | 0% | 21 | 21 | 0% | |
| Re Price | US$/kg | 1,256 | 1,256 | 0% | 1,950 | 2,417 | 19% | |
| Exchange Rate | USD/CAD | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0% | 0.74 | 0.70 | (6%) | |
| Production | LOM | First 5 years | LOM | |||||
| Mine Life | Years | 22 | 5 | 28.7 | ||||
| Total Mill Feed | kt | 600,359 | 74,133 | 752,164 | ||||
| Strip Ratio | Waste : Processed | 0.71 | 1.43 | 0.81 | ||||
| Mill Design Capacity | tpd | 75,000 | 40,000 | 80,000 | ||||
| Processing and Metallurgy | Cu and Au flotation to produce Cu con and separate Moly con | Cu and Au flotation to produce Cu con and separate Moly con, cyanide leach of NW Expo and Red Dog ore rougher and cleaner tails, and Hushamu cleaner tails | ||||||
| Total Copper Recovery | % | 86% | 86.7 | 80.1 | ||||
| Total Gold Recovery | % | 47% | 83.1 | 62.3 | ||||
| Total Molybdenum Recovery | % | 60% | 51.4 | 51.4 | ||||
| Average Annual Cu Production | mm lbs | 96 | 48 | 75 | ||||
| Average Annual Au Production | koz | 100 | 200 | 137 | ||||
| Average Annual Mo Production | kt | 1.1 | N/A | 1.0 | ||||
| Annual CuEq Production | mm lbs | 156 | 151 | 157 | ||||
| Total Cu Recovered | mm lbs | 2,035 | 240 | 2,168 | ||||
| Total Au Recovered | koz | 2,143 | 1,002 | 3,932 | ||||
| Total Mo Recovered | kt | 25 | N/A | 30 | ||||
| Total CuEq Recovered | mm lbs | 3,430 | 753 | 4,509 | ||||
| Operating Cost | ||||||||
| Mining Cost | $/t mined | 2.32 | 3.16 | 3.12 | ||||
| Processing Cost | $/t milled | 5.58 | 10.39 | 9.36 | ||||
| G&A Cost | $/t milled | 0.38 | 1.25 | 0.68 |
| Smelting and Refining Cost | $/t milled | 1.32 | 1.65 | 0.81 |
| Total Operating Cost | $/t milled | 11.12 | 19.68 | 15.69 |
| Cash Cost | US$/lb CuEq | 2.09 | 1.49 | 2.04 |
| AISC | US$/lb CuEq | 2.14 | 1.83 | 2.41 |
| Capital Costs | ||||
| Project Capital Expenditure | $ millions | 1,442 | 1,144 | 1,837 |
| Sustaining Capital | $ millions | 197 | 325 | 1,278 |
| Closure Cost | $ millions | 71 | N/A | 367 |
| Salvage Cost | $ millions | 25 | N/A | 171 |
| Financials | ||||
| Average Annual Operating Cash | 411 | 279 | ||
| $ millions | n/a | |||
| Flow After-tax | ||||
| Average Annual Free Cash Flow | 357 | 199 | ||
| $ millions | 224 | |||
| Afetr-tax | ||||
| NPV afetr-tax | $ billions | 1.06 (8%) | N/A | 2.00 (7%) |
| IRR - afetr-tax | % | 19 | N/A | 28.6 |
| Payback | Years | 3.9 | N/A | 1.9 |
Sustainability
Northisle has incorporated a focus on sustainability into its core strategy, emphasizing the monitoring, disclosure and improvement of ESG performance, recognizing it as equally important to the Company’s success as operating metrics. As a result, Northisle has summarized updated preliminary sustainability metrics for the North Island Project in Table 7 below.
Table 7: Preliminary Sustainability Metrics
| Sustainability Statistics | Units | LOM Total / Avg. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Direct job creation (permanent) | FTE | 428 | |||
| Site Energy Consumption | |||||
| Fuel (annual) | 000s liters | 35,470 | |||
| Electricity (annual) | MWh | 706,950 | |||
| Energy Intensity | kWh / lb CuEq | 4.55 | |||
| Environmental | |||||
| Net water consumption | liters / lb CuEq | 255 | |||
| GHG Emissions – Scope 1 | kg CO2e / lb CuEq | 0.56 | |||
| Total Material to MWSF | MT | 1,176 |
The above sustainability metrics were determined on a preliminary basis by referencing publicly available benchmarks for emissions related to key project energy sources as well as physical quantities estimated in the 2025 PEA. The selected metrics will evolve as the project is developed, to incorporate additional measures of ESG performance.
Permitting and Environment
The Project will likely require authorization under the Canadian Impact Assessment Act (IAA) and the British Columbia Environmental Assessment Act (EAA). There is currently a legal mechanism for cooperation between provincial and federal processes which allows projects to adopt coordination, substitution or joint panel review. The environmental assessment processes typically take three to five years. It should however be noted that the Impact Assessment Cooperation Agreement Between Canada and British Columbia is up for renewal in 2025.
Free, prior and informed consent, in line with the United Nations Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples (UNDRIP), is a foundation of the approach to environmental assessments (EA) in BC. Indigenous Nations play a critical role in scoping and reviewing projects that could impact their Rights or Indigenous Interests. The EAA requires consent from Indigenous groups that are identified as a “Participating Indigenous Nation”, and in some cases they may also be identified as an additional regulator. Indigenous Nations also have the option to undertake Indigenous-led assessments as Participating Indigenous Nations under 19(4) of the EAA. This may affect the EA process and timeline for the Project. Additional federal and provincial authorizations will likely be required for the Project and could take three years to obtain but would be pursued in parallel with the EA.
Preliminary baseline field surveys conducted for the Project include fisheries, hydrology, climate, and wildlife. Additional desktop studies have included these disciplines and hydrogeology. Additional baseline studies are planned for 2025.
Stakeholder Engagement
The Project is located within the separately claimed traditional territories of the Quatsino First Nation (the “Quatsino”), the Tlatlasikwala First Nation (the “Tlatlasikwala”), and the Kwakiutl First Nation (the “Kwakiutl”). Each respective First Nation is the best source for detailed information about its traditional territory. The Company has initiated discussions and maintains an ongoing dialogue with the Quatsino, the Tlatlasikwala and the Kwakiutl, as well as other First Nations and communities in proximity to the Project. The Company has and continues to actively employ members of local First Nations and other communities, and First Nations and local individuals and businesses.
In addition to consulting regularly with each First Nation, the Company has entered into consent-based exploration agreements and successive renewals with Quatsino and Tlatlasikwala in respect of exploration programs conducted within their territory. These agreements provide for an open, honest, transparent and fair process through which the Company can conduct certain activities to determine the viability of developing mines, mills, or related facilities for the commercial production of minerals in a manner which recognizes the rights of the respective First Nations.
The Company intends to continue to engage proactively with all potentially impacted parties.
Opportunities
The 2025 PEA demonstrates the potential for further development of the North Island Project and indicates several additional opportunities for further study which may contribute to further enhanced value, including:
- Optimization of the mineral process flowsheet: Once additional metallurgical testing is completed, the following can be confirmed: Optimum grind size selection and comminution selection, optimum regrind size for each deposit and regrind technology selection, optimization of leaching and absorption retention time and optimum source of leaching and cyanide detoxification oxygen.
- Additional step-out and in-fill drilling: There is potential for additional resources at West Goodspeed, located less than a kilometer from Red Dog, as well as potential extension of all the known deposits within the North Island Project, thus increasing the mineralized material available for development, including testing for the causative intrusion source for the higher-grade mineralization at Northwest Expo. In-fill drilling of the three currently defined deposits could further increase the indicated resource material. A fully funded exploration program is being advanced for 2025.
- Mining related test work: The current PEA applies assumptions based on existing test work which effect the pit design, and refinement of these may increase the indicated resource material. These include improved geotechnical and hydrogeological test work, geochemical test work, as well as market studies to outline potential capital for project financing.
- Reduce carbon emissions: High-level calculations at the time of this release indicate that converting the proposed diesel mine fleet to an electric fleet has the potential to result in avoidance of compliance payments for carbon emission exceedances and may result in payment for project credits. This depends on the strength of the BC OBPS market and may justify the cost of electrifying the fleet.
- Optimization of site infrastructure: Optimizing the plant location to reduce tailings pumping equipment and cost, utilising regenerative conveyors to add power to the overall system and reduce power consumption.
- Optimizing permitting schedule: There are opportunities to optimize the overall permitting schedule by advancing permitting while the EA process is underway. Although major permits cannot be issued for projects prior to the receipt of an Environmental Assessment Certificate, the EA and permitting processes can advance in parallel.
Next Steps
With the completion of the 2025 PEA, Northisle intends to continue to advance the North Island Project. Key next steps and milestones include:
- Northisle will continue to proactively engage with First Nations, local communities, government and key project stakeholders in support of the responsible development of the Project;
- Complete the drilling program including infill and step out drilling at Northwest Expo, infill drilling at Red Dog, and resource definition drilling and step out at West Goodspeed;
- Conduct plant site and MWSF site condemnation drilling;
- Initiate additional environmental baseline work;
- Conduct additional metallurgical test work to support the prefeasibility study;
- Conduct geotechnical investigations for open pit design, process plant mill foundation design, and MWSF dam design; and
- Commence a Prefeasibility Study.
A high-level project milestone schedule is provided in Figure 5.
Figure 5: Project Milestones
| Milestones Exploration First Nations and Stakeholder Consultation Complete PEA | -6 | -5 | -4 | -3 | -2 | -1 | 1 |
| Expand Environmental Baseline Programs | |||||||
| Complete PFS | |||||||
| Complete FS | |||||||
| Submit Draft EIS | |||||||
| Submit Final EIS | |||||||
| Complete Engineering and Procurement | |||||||
| EA Approval | |||||||
| MA / EMA Permit Receipt | |||||||
| Signed IBAs Complete Construction | |||||||
| Initial Production |
2025 Exploration Overview
Northisle is currently in the final stages of planning its 2025 exploration program. The fully funded $7 million program will be focused on enhanced understanding of higher-grade, higher-margin potential in the vicinity of Northwest Expo and West Goodspeed, an area which is now being identified as the “Northwest Corridor”. To date, the discoveries in this area have improved overall project resource grade and margin and have generally been near surface, presenting a compelling option for further improving the North Island Project. The 2025 focus areas are highlighted in Figure 6, and the Company expects to announce further details on the program once available.
Figure 6: 2025 Exploration Focus Areas
Webcast Details
The Company will host a conference call on February 19, 2025 at 11:00 AM Eastern time (8:00 AM Pacific time). Details to access the call live are as follows:
- Via telephone, by calling +1-844-763-8274 toll free in North America, and +1-647-484-8814 internationally
- Via webcast at: Webcast
The webcast will be archived for 6 months following the call at the above-noted link and on the Company’s website.
2025 PEA Details
The 2025 PEA is a comprehensive re-envisioning of the North Island Project built around several primary project goals, including:
- Consider staged development to reduce initial capital costs while maintaining optionality for a larger, long-lived operation
- Reconsider metallurgical approach to account for higher gold grades in the Northwest Expo and Red Dog pits
- When evaluating trade-offs, select the option with the highest overall return that addresses the capital criteria
- Minimize life-cycle impacts, specifically on a per unit produced basis
Changes to the Project design were extensive, including: